Friday 15 July 2011

15/7/2011

***Another frustrating result with Catalina's Diamond being backed into 16/1 before trading at 1.35 in-running on the win market and 1.02 to place, before weakening close home to come a close 4th***


4.45 Newbury - Catalina's Diamond - 22/1

Another filly on a free falling mark, runs of 65, which seems more than fair judged on some of her form.

Last year over 5f she showed blistering amounts of speed when both chasing home Crying Lightening in 3rd at Leicester and also coming 5th in the Queen Mary (6l behind Group 1 performed Maqaasid). Since then she has been upped in trip but has shaped most the time as if she will be even better suited dropping back to the minimum.

Racing Post have said of her runs over further since.

10/7/2010 - She might be better ging back to 5f for the time being.

29/4/2011 - Probably a sprinter and might come on for this

19/5/2011 -Left her reappearance behind, doing it all too easily for a long way. She's retained plenty of speed and won't have a problem dropping back to 5f

Seeing as she's from an American pedigree she may need very quick ground to be at her best on turf, so we can forgive her the 2 disappointment on good ground.

Her one run over 6f on quick ground this year resulted in a decent second in a maiden where the 1st,3rd and 5th have one since and where also RP suggested she might be better over 5f.

Tackling that trip for the first time since the Queen Mary, 22/1 is probably worth an E/W bet also.


1pt E/W 22/1

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