Novellen Lad is available at 40/1 with Stan James this evening which seems more than fair. Already trading a bit below 33s on BF at the moment and has been backed into as low as 20/1 with Paddy Power.
Novellen Lad is a sibling to a lot of smart sprinters notably Ellens Lad and Ellens Academy. They achieved their best RPRs both at the age of 6 - obviously this is a very late maturing family so there is no reason Novellen Lad can't improve from last season.
He loves quick ground which he'll get tomorrow and importantly is said to be at his best fresh. First time out last year he won by 3l of a 3lb lower mark, and a recreation of that effort would seem him go very close here.
He then performed admirably in similar kind of handicaps as tomorrow off a mark of 93 when coming 4th and 5th at the Curragh and York respectively. Back off a 6lb lower mark and fresh he should run a nice race. The 40/1 looks way to big and will surely be closer the 25/1 all round tomorrow morning (Should be about a 16-20/1 shot in my book)
Top of my potential dangers were Swilly Ferry, Our Jonathon, Silaah and Fireback. With slight preference for the last two.
1pt E/W Novellen Lad 40/1
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