Going to try and update this time from time now. Last couple of months I've been a bit preoccupied with Cheltenham and now I have my exams going. However, every now and then I'll be looking at the priced up races the night before to keep me sane from revision. Found an interesting one tomorrow at an alright price.
Newbury 4.55 - Striking Spirit
Priced up at 13/2 with Racing Post that was the price I was expecting, so it came as a great shock to me that up to 10/1 is available at the moment of writing. In a field with questions marking lurking over most of the field, whether it be ground, trip or fitness - he is one of the most consistent of the 13 that are set to go to post.
. He's gone well fresh before - Won first time out in 2009, beaten a head in 2010
. He loves quick ground - All 3 wins on good to firm
. Trip wise - adaptable, slight suspicion he's better over 6f, but ran 2 good races over the trip last year when runner up on both occasions.
. Dandy/Adrian Nicholls have started the season in form - in the last fortnight the two of them have already combined 5 winners (12/1, 8/1, 13/2, 18/1, 7/1) from 21 runners.
. Also you'd imagine Adrian Nicholls could have ridden the shorter price stablemate Courageous
. Looks OK handicapped in race full of exposed horses in the main. Placed off a 3lb lower mark in the Wokingham last year - and would have won comfortably but for the chucked in Laddies Poker Two
2pt E/W Striking Spirit 10/1 - Bet 365 BOG
****** Update 10am Friday*********
Nice to see I was somewhat right about Striking Spirit with him now being top price 8/1 but as low as 13/2.
Got another that catches my eye
Ayr 2.50 - Drop Anchor
In a very open race Drop Anchor looks the play at 25/1. His form is indeed very patchy, in fact very patchy is being very generous to the horse. He has been pretty hopeless in all but one start. But this came over conditions similar to todays, 3 miles on good ground. For that run he was given an RPR of 114, and there seems no reason doubt that with solid yardsticks in behind. He gets the chance to run off 106 today and with a 7lb claimer on his back he'll only be carrying 9st 9. After his win last time his trainer commented 'he needs good ground' so his last run is easily forgiven. also he mentioned how the horse still ran very green. It is hoped with a winter off on his back he will return a more professional horse and know that his job is actually to travel and then go on and win. Trained in Ireland his trainer has had 7/1 and 12/1 winners from his 15 runners over here in the last 5 years, so I'd imagine a bold show is expected
1pt E/W Drop Anchor 22/1 - VC BOG
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