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| Soldatino and Barry Geraghty |
. As already highlighted by the Fred Winter, French breds have a cracking record in the juvenile winners at the festival. Soldatino was one of just four in the field, and was returned at the shortest of the four at 6/1.
. Had already won a good trial (The Adonis) well under a penalty
. Geraghty after that race said he must be a good horse as he quickened twice out of soft ground. Also he said they hadn't done much with him since he came to the yard, so he was bound to come on tons for the experience.
County Hurdle
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| Thousand Stars gives Katie Walsh has second winner of the week |
. Had a very progressive profile having won two of his last three. He had come unstuck last time, although the RP in running comments didn't give any reason for positivity, there actual analysis said about him 'Another to note was Thousand Stars who looked to be travelling like a winner just behind the leaders before the second last, but he overjumped that flight and was soon in trouble'.
. Usually Irish Horses handicap marks are inflated when they come over to the festival, however, his was not, only being 1lb higher than his Irish mark.
Disappointment - Tito Bustillo
. To be honest he was a bit unlucky being badly hampered. However, before the race experience and his handicap mark were always going to be a worry. He was stepping up from novice company into a big field, and his handicap mark of 136 seemed harsh given the form he'd achieved so far.
Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle
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| Berties Dream returns after springing a shock |
. Had good course form being 3rd behind Tell Massini at the November meeting. That day he was beaten 9l but he was giving Tell Massini 7lbs, leaving him theoretically 2lbs to find. In this race Tell Massini was 10/3f, yet Berties Dream was 33/1 - So it was obvious where the value lied.
. Had a lot of experience already with 14 runs over hurdles. Also he had already stepped out of the novice ranks last time and so this 19 runner field was perhaps going to be more to his liking than his inexperienced rivals
. He had achieved the 4th best RPR in the field (Behind Restless Harry (F), Shinrock Paddy (PU) and Tell Massini (PU)) and was within 3lbs of all of them. There prices were 8/1, 8/1 and 10/3f respectively, so once again it was obvious where the value lied.
Gold Cup
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| Imperial Commander goes clear at the last in the 2010 Gold Cup |
. Tons of course form having won 4 chases already at the course
. Another horse like Berties Dream who represented value - He was only beaten a nose by Kauto Star in November yet he was 10x the price.
. Great record fresh - almost unbeaten
Foxhunters Chase
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| Sam Twiston-Davies rides Baby Run to Festival Glory |
Winner - Baby Run
. Great course form - never unplaced at the course
. Had run the top RPR in the field that season
. Still relatively unexposed in the sphere with only 9 chase starts.
Martin Pipe Conditionals Handicap Hurdle
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| Pause and Clause lands the penultimate event at the 2010 Festival |
. Like Buena Vista - He was running of the same mark that he had been the year before when going close. He was running in a different race yes, but it was over the same distance. He was 3rd beaten 2l off 137 in the Coral Cup in 2009, and was running here off 137 again. This was theoretically a small step down in class, also in 2009 he'd only had 3 hurdle starts, so there was plenty of reasons why he could improve on that run.
. He had run well this year in race that wouldn't have suited (2 x too far, 1 x chase) and looked to be coming to form.
Grand Annual
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| Pigeon Island and Paddy Brennan |
Winner - Pigeon Island
. Came near the top of trends
. Good course form
, Light weight as the ground softened was always going to be useful
. Connections were in great form - having already put in a double on the day.
Failure - You're The Top
. All his form was RH (all 5 wins) going Left Handed 363F
. Inexperienced with only 3 chase starts, all in small fields
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