Age 6-8
2-4 runs season
3-12 runs chases
1-7 runs handicap chases
Max 22 lifetime starts
Won 1-3 chases
Won max 1 handicap chase
Not run in 25k+ race this season
Placed in 20k+ chase
Placed in a handicap chase
Not won more than 1 chase over 3 miles
Max 3 finishes in 3m handicaps
21-49 days rest
Top 5 last time out
1-3 Seasons chasing
Won 15+ field
Carrying max 10st 11
Running off a mark of max 124 (taking off rider's claim if necessary)
Of these, the last 10 winners bar Cane Brake, all scored at least 16. Cane Brake however went on to be beaten not too far in that year's Gold Cup, however, there doesn't seem to be any horse of that calibre in the race this year.
This year's top scorers
16 - Undergraduate, Old Si, The Burrow Vic and Glenquest.
Selections
The Burrow Vic - 25/1 Paddy Power (Each way first 5 places)
After his first win over hurdles his trainer stated that he 'needs 3 miles', so it's perhaps surprising that since then he's only run twice over the trip. First time was in a novice handicap hurdle when he came 3rd to Quite De La Roque (pulling 16l clear of 4th in a 25 runner field). That form has been franked with the winner coming 2nd in the Grade 1 novice chase at Leopardstown today. The second time he won at Sligo last time out. He only won by 1.25l but he travelled by far the best horse in the race and cruised to the last, only having to be got at late when another horse came late too. He's been raised 13lbs for that, which may seem harsh, but he definitely won with a fair bit in hand. His form on heavy is 54313, so he'll obviously handle the conditions well. Like Glenquest he's off a featherweight (9st 10) and is very unexposed at the trip, so at 25/1 he rates good value.
Oscar Looby - 33/1 Will Hill
Probably the best handicapped horse in the field on his piece of form when he beat Alpha Ridge and Telenor. Can't see too many negatives on him, trip maybe a slight question (only won once over 3miles - slow time), though interestingly 4 of the last 10 winners had not won at the trip yet. Also he has a claimer on - but 5/10 winners have been riden by a jockey claiming. Positives are he has 7lbs off his back so only has 10st 9 on his back and he'll love the heavy ground (form with heavy in F121314). Also it's interesting his trainer says he believes he's better going left handed. Most his form recently has been RH and looking at his form when he's run on LH tracks his form is 321211PF (1211 on heavy - only being beaten by Gr1 winning Kempes). He gets on well in big fields (form in 16+ is 33111FP) and it's interesting he has first time cheek pieces on here, which could just make him concentrate a bit. At the forecast odds he is a worth a bet.
Selections
Probably the best handicapped horse in the field on his piece of form when he beat Alpha Ridge and Telenor. Can't see too many negatives on him, trip maybe a slight question (only won once over 3miles - slow time), though interestingly 4 of the last 10 winners had not won at the trip yet. Also he has a claimer on - but 5/10 winners have been riden by a jockey claiming. Positives are he has 7lbs off his back so only has 10st 9 on his back and he'll love the heavy ground (form with heavy in F121314). Also it's interesting his trainer says he believes he's better going left handed. Most his form recently has been RH and looking at his form when he's run on LH tracks his form is 321211PF (1211 on heavy - only being beaten by Gr1 winning Kempes). He gets on well in big fields (form in 16+ is 33111FP) and it's interesting he has first time cheek pieces on here, which could just make him concentrate a bit. At the forecast odds he is a worth a bet.
Selections
1.5pt E/W The Burrow Vic 25/1 (5 places) BOG
1 pt E/W Oscar Looby 33/1 (4 places) BOG
1 pt E/W Oscar Looby 33/1 (4 places) BOG
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